PCG Announces New SURE Program
Benefit Estimator Available For Download

Friday, September 12, 2008                      By Shawn Wade

      Many producers have been wondering how the new Supplemental Revenue Assistance (SURE) Program might impact their operations as a result of 2008-crop production losses.

      The Texas AgriLIFE Extension Service has developed a SURE program benefit estimator with assistance from Plains Cotton Growers, Inc. that should help answer their questions.

      The SURE benefit estimator is a Microsoft Excel-based spreadsheet and is currently available for download from the Plains Cotton Growers website, located at www.plainscotton.org, and from the South Plains Profitability Project website located at: http://southplainsprofit.tamu.edu A copy of Microsoft Excel is required to view and use the estimator.

      This SURE benefit estimator is provided specifically to help producers calculate possible SURE payments. It does not calculate an exact actual payment due to the many assumptions about program rules and final market year average prices. It is also not a decision aid to help producers decide whether or not to incur the cost of maintaining future SURE program eligibility.

      The SURE benefit estimator utilizes Direct and Counter-cyclical Program data and Federal Crop Insurance information for an eligible producer or entity to estimate the possible benefits that might be available through the SURE program. It also uses the latest price forecasts for the 2008 marketing year for major program crops.

      Instructions for using the estimator and explanations of the various program parameters are included as well.

      Final rules governing the program are still in the process of being written by USDA. Since there are still several key decisions to be made, the SURE benefit estimator includes a number of basic assumptions about how different program elements were intended to work.

      Keeping in mind that updates will be required the SURE benefit estimator is designed to accommodate the final rules as they are implemented. Users are encouraged to check the PCG and South Plains Profit Project websites regularly for updates.

 

2008 Crop Production Estimate Lowers
High Plains Forecast By 100,000 bales

Friday, September 12, 2008                      By Shawn Wade

      In what may be just the first of several downward revisions for the 2008 High Plains cotton crop, USDA's Texas Agricultural Statistics Service trimmed 100,000 bales from the 2008 Upland cotton production estimate for the area earlier today.

      The revision puts the new forecast at 3.61 million bales, which is still a lofty goal to hope for this growing season. Complicating the picture for many on the High Plains is the fact that the September 12 estimate is based on observations and survey results compiled at the end of August, almost two weeks prior to the reports release date.

      This timing difference, and the weather that has occurred during that interval, may ultimately prove to be the key difference between the crop that many High Plains producers are observing in their fields today and the estimated production levels foreseen two weeks prior.

      So far September has been less than many had hoped for weather-wise. Slightly cool temperatures and too many cloudy days are less than encouraging signs that the area will receive the "Indian Summer" conditions it needs to fully mature the crop and give it a chance to hit the USDA production estimate.

      Looking ahead, short-term weather forecasts aren't predicting a substantial warm-up temperature-wise, but do indicate a return to partly cloudy conditions next week.

      Delving into the numbers from this week's Texas Upland cotton production estimate shows irrigated cotton in District 1-N is expected to produce around 952 pounds per harvested acre in 2008, down 54 pounds from the yield forecasted a month ago. For the month USDA TASS also adjusted both planted and harvested acreage in 1-N to 610,000 and 570,000 acres, respectively. The end result was a 40,000-bale jump in the production forecast for the district to 1.13 million bales.

      Changes in District 1-S acreage were also made as TASS added 60,000 acres to the planted acre tally and subtracted 195,000 acres from the harvested acre total. Projected harvested area in District 1-S is now 1.43 million acres with approximately 900,000 of those acres falling on the non-irrigated side of the ledger. Overall District 1-S is forecast by TASS to produce some 2.48 million bales at an average yield of 832 pounds per acre, which is a 58-pound increase in the District 1-S yield forecast.

      The following table shows the projected 2008-crop acreage, yield and production figures for all TASS reporting districts.

2008-crop Upland Cotton Production Estimates

Texas Reporting District, September 12, 2008

Districts

Planted

Harvested

Yield

Production

 

1,000 acres

Pounds

1,000 bales

1-N

610.0

570.0

952

1,130.0

1-S

2,680.0

1,430.0

832

2,480.0

2-N

340.0

280.0

566

330.0

2-S

480.0

450.0

405

380.0

4

80.0

80.0

480

80.0

7

180.0

145.0

596

180.0

8-N

60.0

50.0

864

90.0

8-S

200.0

155.0

697

225.0

9

110.0

110.0

655

150.0

10-S

80.0

70.0

960

140.0

Other districts

80.0

60.0

920

115.0

STATE    

4,900.0

3,400.0

748

5,300.0

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

Continued on Page 2

Visit PCG on the Web: WWW.PLAINSCOTTON.ORG


NRCS To Hold 2009 EQIP PDG/LWG Meetings

      Texas Soil and Water Conservation Districts invite the public, and any agencies with interest, to participate in the agency's 2009 Local Work Group (LWG) meetings.

      The purpose of the LWG's is to provide members of the community a forum for submitting recommendations on local issues and county based funding that can be addressed through the Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP).

      Local Soil and Water Conservation Districts (SWCD) conduct LWG meetings in partnership with USDA-Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS).

      Each county in Texas holds the public meetings annually and meeting information will soon be posted on the Texas NRCS website (www.tx.nrcs.usda.gov). A partial list of LWG meetings already scheduled for the High Plains and South Plains regions is included in the table below.

2009 EQIP LWG Meeting
Dates, Times and Locations

as of 09/11/08

NRCS office

County

Date

Time

Location

Canyon

Randall

10/21/08

10:00 a.m.

Randall County AgriLife Ext. Center, 200 N. Brown Road

DUMAS

Moore

10/8/08

9:00 a.m.

Moore Co. Annex East First Street

Stratford

Sherman

10/8/08

9:00 a.m.

Happy State Bank, 101 N Main Street

LUBBOCK

Lubbock

10/14/08

9:00 a.m.

USDA-ARS Center, 3810 4th St.

Morton

Cochran

10/21/08

8:00 a.m.

USDA Service Center, 200 West Taylor Street

Crosbyton

Crosby

10/21/08

6:00 p.m.

Pioneer Museum, US Hwy 82

Levelland

Hockley

10/22/08

8:30 a.m.

Chase Bank, 800 8th St.

MATADOR

Motley

10/14/08

8:30 a.m.

USDA Service Center, 1103 Eubank

Paducah

Cottle

10/9/08

9:00 a.m.

USDA Service Center

Quanah

Hardeman

10/8/08

9:30 a.m.

Quanah Community Center, Intersection State Hwy 104 & FM 2568

Crowell

Foard

 

 

TBA

MEMPHIS

Hall

10/14/08

1:30 p.m.

1st Bank and Trust meeting room, North of Courthouse

Childress

Childress

10/14/08

10:00 a.m.

Greenbelt Elec. Coop. meeting room, US Hwy 83

 

  

 

2008 County Crop Tours and Field Days

      The table below contains a partial listing of the events already scheduled. Growers interested in attending any of these Texas AgriLife Extension events should contact the appropriate County Extension office to request additional details.

      For more information about the industry Field Days listed below contact your local sales representative or dealer.

      If you have information that needs to be added or corrected regarding any of the events already listed or know of a date you would like to have added to this calendar please contact Shawn Wade at 806-792-4904.

2008 High Plains Event Calendar

Event:

Date:

Floyd Co. Ag Tour featuring Wind Energy

September 16

Lynn Co. Crop Tour

September 17

Hale Co. Harvest Aid Meting

September 18, Edcot Gin

Swisher Co. Harvest Aid Meeting

September 19

Hockley Co. Tour

October 1, contact Hockley County Extension Office for more information

Mitchell Co. Crop Tour

October 2

Borden/Scurry Co. Crop Tour

October 9

 

 

Industry Field Days:

Date:

Monsanto/D&PL Field Days

 

 

 

September 23 – Consultant

September 24 – Producer

PLEASE CALL 740-1600 to RSVP and confirm your attendance

Bayer CropScience/Fibermax Field Days

September 30

October 2