Damage Assessment Hard To QuantifyBut
Could Impact September Crop Report

Friday, September 2,2005                             By Shawn Wade

      With anecdotal reports fromjust about every part of the High Plains indicating the 2005 crop could be justas good and possibly a little bit better than the previous year, the stage isset for a bump in High Plains crop prospects when the September 2005 cropestimate is released by the Texas Agricultural Statistics Service.

      Last year the differencebetween TASS's August 1 and September 1 Upland Cotton crop estimates for TexasDistricts 1-N and 1-S amounted to just over 300,000 bales.

      Unfortunately, the Septemberreport will likely be tempered by the devastating storms that dotted the regionwith hail the weekend of August 26. Damage estimates are still being preparedas fields are evaluated to see what potential they have for either recovery orsalvage harvest operations.

      For quite a few growers thereis simply no question about the storms effect as literally thousands of acresof cotton that had 2 or more bales of potential were reduced to shredded stalksin a matter of minutes.

      Overall, it appears that upwardsof 175,000 bales of production may have been lost to the storms from as many as150-175,000 acres. For many of the growers involved, the storms were a fatalblow to their 2005 crop prospects.

      The final loss total from thestorms could increase as some of the less obvious damage manifests itself overthe course of the next few weeks. Some area crop observers are estimating thattotal losses could be closer to 200,000 acres after it is all said and done.

      Outside the hail-effectedareas, the High Plains the crop continues to move forward and is on track toproduce well over 4 million bales for the second straight year. Whether the2005 crop can meet or exceed 2004's record is unknown, but not out of thequestion with a good September/October weather pattern.

 

NASS Releases Final JulyMarketing Figures;
FSA Preparing Final CCP Rate Calculation

Friday, September 2,2005                             By Shawn Wade

      Tracking the monthly numbersand using them to generate an estimated 2004-crop Weighted Average PriceReceived, indicates that the final 2004-crop Counter-cyclical (CC) payment ratefor cotton will be the maximum 13.73 cents per pound.

      Assuming there are nosignificant adjustments made in the monthly figures released to this point, the2004 marketing year Weighted Average Price Received by cotton producers is42.85 cents per pound, well below the 52-cent threshold above which the CCpayment rate begins to decline.

      Based on these figures,growers participating in the 2004 Direct and Counter-cyclical Program (DCP)should expect the final 2004 Upland cotton CC payment rate to be 13.73 centsper pound. It is possible that the Farm Service Agency, which computes thefinal payment rate based on information from the National AgriculturalStatistics Service (NASS), could announce the final payment rate within thenext few weeks.

      Producers who received both2004 advance CC payments have already received 9.61 cents and would expect tosee a final payment of approximately 4.12 cents per pound.

      The 2004 Counter-cyclicalpayment rate authorized under the 2002 Farm Bill will be based on the 12-monthWeighted Average Price Received by growers. For cotton the final 12-monthWeighted Average Price will reflect price and bales marketed for the 2004marketing year. The 2004 cotton marketing year began August 1, 2004 and endedJuly 31, 2005.

      The following table shows theaverage price received each month by farmers and the associated WeightedAverage Price based on cumulative bales marketed through July 2005.

 

Average Price Received ThroughJuly 2005

For 2004-crop Upland Cotton

(Weighted by bales marketed)

 

Marketings

Prices

 

(000's of Running bales)

(cents/Lb.)

 

Monthly

Cum.

Monthly

Weighted

August

1,215

1,215

53.70

53.70

September

587

1,802

49.30

52.27

October

923

2,725

49.50

51.33

November

1,437

4,162

44.40

48.94

December

2,292

6,454

40.70

46.01

January

3,698

10,152

39.60

43.68

February

1,847

11,999

39.00

42.96

March

1,354

13,353

41.50

42.81

April

934

14,287

43.10

42.83

May

559

14,846

42.00

42.80

June

592

15,438

44.00

42.84

July

416

15,854

43.20

42.85

Source: National AgriculturalStatistics Service

 

TCE Distributing 2005 CottonResource CD

Friday, September 2,2005                             By Shawn Wade

      Texas Cooperative Extension CottonSpecialists Dr. Robert Lemon, of College Station, and Dr. Randy Boman, ofLubbock, have finalized the 2005 update to last year's inaugural CottonResource CD which provided a one-stop reference library of useful cottonmanagement information.

      The 2005 CD has been updatedwith numerous educational publications and, for the first time, includesresearch summaries for research projects carried out in 2004 through the CottonIncorporated State Support Program.

      Funding for the CottonResource CD was provided through the CI State Support Program and helped createEastern Region and Western Region versions of the CD.

Continued on Page 2


      An online version of each CDis also available through the Lubbock Texas A&M University Research and ExtensionCenter's website (http://lubbock.tamu.edu). Growers can browse the contents of both CDs onlineusing the following link: http://lubbock.tamu.edu/cottoncd/

      To view the documents online,or after downloading, you will need a copy of Adobe Acrobat Reader or softwarecapable of opening Adobe Portable Document Format (PDF) files.

 

TDA To Hold Town Hall Meetings In
Four High Plains Counties September 14

Friday, September 2,2005                             By Shawn Wade

      Agriculture CommissionerSusan Combs is visiting with agricultural producers and rural communities attown hall meetings throughout the state to discuss issues impacting rural Texasand the agricultural industry.

      The town hall meetings,hosted by the Texas Department of Agriculture, are open forums where producersand community members can discuss issues as well as present their ideas andsolutions to the commissioner.

      "Agriculture and ruralcommunities face so many challenges, and I want to know firsthand about localconcerns and issues," Combs said. "Some regions of Texas have veryspecific needs, and by working with producers, industry groups and communityleaders, we can address these issues to ensure that agriculture and rural Texasremain strong throughout the state."

      The town hall meetings arefree and open to the public. For more information, contact Ryan O'Neal,producer relations specialist at TDA, at (512) 463-4879.

      Town hall meetings scheduledin the High Plains region will occur on Wednesday, September 14 at thefollowing locations:

 

Dallam County - 8:00 a.m., Rita Blanca Coliseum,1219 W. FM 281, Dalhart.

Gray County - 10:30 a.m., Pampa Chamber ofCommerce, M.K. Brown Room, 200 N. Ballard, Pampa.

Deaf Smith County - 1:00 p.m., Hereford IndependentSchool District Administration Building, 601 N. 25 Mile Ave., Hereford.

Lubbock County - 3:30 p.m., Texas Tech Food andAnimal Science Building, Southwest corner of Brownfield Highway and IndianaAvenue, Lubbock.

 

Crop Tours Offer Opportunity For Growers
To Make Side-by-Side Comparisons

Friday, September 2,2005                             By Shawn Wade

      The 2005 harvest season israpidly approaching. With that approach it is also an excellent time to learnabout and see first-hand how different cotton varieties are performing in thefield.

      Designed to provide thatopportunity and also set the stage for the harvest season, Texas CooperativeExtension offices across the High Plains have scheduled county crop toursthrough the end of September.

      An added benefit to producersattending the Crosby and Yoakum County crop tours will be the inclusion of twoof the large-plot Systems Demonstration project sites supported through thePlains Cotton Improvement Program and overseen by Dr. Randy Boman. The thirdSystems project site in Muleshoe was part of the Bailey/Parmer County Crop Tourheld August 25.

      Producers interested inattending either the Yoakum or Crosby County Crop Tours and touring theremaining Systems project locations should contact the Crosby and YoakumExtension offices at the numbers listed below.

      A complete list of the CountyCrop Tours, Seed Industry Field Days and other meetings, with contactinformation, appears below.

 

High Plains Crop Tour & Field Day Schedule *

August/September 2005

September 9

Swisher County Forage Meeting. Contact Michael Clawson, CEA-AG, at 806-995-3721.

September 13

Yoakum County Crop Tour. Contact Arlan Gentry, CEA-AG, at 806-456-2263.

September 14

Lubbock County Crop Tour. Contact Mark Brown, CEA-AG, at 806-775-1680.

September 14

Cochran County Crop Tour. Contact Jeff Wyatt, CEA-AG, at 806-266-5215.

September 15

Dawson County Crop Tour. Contact Tommy Doederlein, EA-IPM, at 806-872-5978.

September 15

Terry County Crop Tour. Contact Chris Bishop, CEA-AG, at 806-637-4060, or Scott Russell, EA-IPM, at 806-637-8792.

September 15

D&PL Field Day, eight miles south of Lorenzo on the Steve Chapman Farm, 9:00 a.m. Call 806-740-1600.

September 16

Swisher County Crop Tour. Contact Michael Clawson, CEA-AG, at 806-995-3726.

September 20

Floyd County Ag Tour. Contact J.D. Ragland, CEA-AG, at 806-983-4912.

September 21

West Texas Ag Chemicals Institute Annual Meeting, Holiday Inn Lubbock Plaza Hotel.

September 22

Bayer CropScience/FiberMax Field Day, phone 806-765-8844 for more information

September 22

Lynn County Crop Tour. Contact Bryan Reynolds, CEA-AG, at 806-561-4562.

September 28

Crosby County Crop Tour. Contact Steve Young, CEA-AG, at 806-675-2347.

September 28

All-Tex Seed Field Day, Levelland, Texas,

Call 806-894-4901 for more information.

*To add an event tothis calendar contact PCG at 806-792-4904