August 12 Estimate Spotlights Excellent
Potential Of 2005 High Plains Cotton Crop

Friday, August 19, 2005                             By Shawn Wade

      Since the beginning of the2005 growing season, the idea that the High Plains of Texas would be able toproduce back-to-back crops in excess of 4 million bales was one that mostpeople hardly entertained.

      Most people probably thoughtit would be next to impossible to receive a similar confluence of events towhat occurred in 2004 and produced a record-breaking 4.87 million-bale crop.

Early in the 2005 season thosethoughts seemed to be right on target. The crop did not get off to what mostobservers felt was a very good start due to cool temperatures in early May, dryconditions in many non-irrigated production areas, and the need for quite a fewacres to be replanted after various weather events destroyed or damaged youngstands.

      Fast forward to the firstweek of August 2005. Despite its' early challenges, the High Plains crop hasrallied and those same observers, who were less than optimistic two months ago,started wondering if the crop they were seeing in the field could really be asgood as it looked.

      According to the TexasAgricultural Statistics Service the crop may indeed be that good and could geteven better with a little help. Based on TASS field survey results the 2005crop has the potential to easily take the number two spot in the High Plainsrecord books.

      According to TASS, Texas CropReporting Districts 1-N and 1-S, which encompass virtually 100 percent of the PlainsCotton Growers service area, are on pace to produce 4.07 million bales ofcotton in 2005. Contributing to that figure is a high harvested acreageestimate that reflects how few acres have been lost through the first half ofthe growing season and a solid level of fruit retention in the field.

      Depending on what the weatherdoes during the next 8-10 weeks, the 2005 crop appears to have a good chance tobe better than many observers had ever dreamed early on.

      An obvious question thatcomes to mind is how the August 2005 crop estimate compares to what wasprojected in August 2004 for the record-setting 2004 crop. According to thefigures released by TASS in August 2004, last year's record crop was projectedto be in the 3.9 million bale range.

      As we know, a tremendouslyfavorable August and September weather pattern helped that crop grow by almosta third to finally settle at some 4.87 million bales.

      The only thing that growersand crop watchers both know for certain is that weather patterns during Augustand September will be the key to another record-setting High Plains cottoncrop.

      It appears the 2005 HighPlains crop has, according to at least one objective measure, as much or morepotential as existed in 2004. With a little help and a favorable September thearea should break the 4 million bale mark in 2005.


      Onlytime will tell whether or not a favorable August/September weather pattern willhelp push the 2005 crop beyond that level.


Participation In TASSSurvey Efforts Important Task For Entire Cotton Industry

Friday, August 19, 2005                             By Shawn Wade

      Field enumerators from theTexas Agricultural Statistics Service are constantly working to gather thecritical agricultural data upon which our industry depends.

      Their efforts range fromconducting surveys and compiling data to heading into the field to gatherinformation on growing crops. Through it all TASS depends on the cooperation ofgrowers and allied industry to ensure they provide the best and most accuratedata possible.

      Over the next few weeks TASSrepresentatives in Texas are conducting several important survey programs. Forthe state's cotton producers the results of at least one of those efforts willbe quickly realized.

      Currently, TASS personnel arebusy contacting Texas cotton merchants and determining the Cotton PricesReceived by Growers for the month of July and gathering both new and revisedmarketing data from previous months.

      This data will be compiledand sent on to Washington, DC and be used to calculate the final Average PriceReceived by Growers for the 2004 Upland Cotton marketing year that ended July31, 2005.

      Once calculated, the AveragePrice Received by Growers will be used by the USDA Farm Service Agency tocalculate the final 2004 Counter-cyclical Program payment rate for UplandCotton as authorized by the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002.

      TASS will begin gathering2005-crop Upland Cotton Marketing and Price information in early September.

      In addition to the ongoingwork to gather cotton price and marketing information, TASS will be conductingits September Agricultural Crop/Stocks and September Agriculture Yield surveysbetween August 31 and September 14.

      Between now and the first ofSeptember TASS enumerators will also conduct their September Cotton ObjectiveYield Survey which will be used to develop an updated production and yieldestimate for the September Crop Production Report from the NationalAgricultural Statistics Service.

      Playing an active role andworking with TASS representatives as they go about the business of puttingtogether survey data is important. Cotton growers, merchants and other alliedindustry members are encouraged to take the time to work with TASS personnelwhenever they are contacted and help ensure the accuracy of the informationTASS develops.



High Plains Crop Tour & Field Day Schedule *

August/September 2005


August 23


Scurry/Borden County Small Grains Workshop. Contact Greg Gruben, CEA-AG, at 325-573-5423 or Dennis Poole, CEA-AG, at 756-4336.

August 24

Crop Conference, Tulia. Contact Michael Clawson, CEA-AG, at 995-3721.

August 25

Bailey/Parmer County Crop Tour. Contact Curtis Preston, CEA-AG, at 806-272-4583; or Cody Hill, CEA-AG, at 806-481-3619

August 26

Lubbock Chamber of Commerce Ag Appreciation Breakfast and Farm Tour, Reservation required for Breakfast, call 761-7000

August 31

Gaines County Ag Tour. Contact Terry Millican, CEA-AG, at 432-758-4006.

Sept. 9

Swisher County Forage Meeting. Contact Michael Clawson, CEA-AG,

at 806-995-3721.

Sept. 13

Yoakum County Crop Tour. Contact Arlan Gentry, CEA-AG, at 456-2263.

Sept. 14

Lubbock County Crop Tour. Contact Mark Brown, CEA-AG, at 775-1680.

Sept. 14

Cochran County Crop Tour. Contact Jeff Wyatt, CEA-AG, at 806-266-5215.

Sept. 15

Dawson County Crop Tour. Contact Tommy Doederlein, EA-IPM,

at 806-872-5978.

Sept. 15

Terry County Crop Tour. Contact Chris Bishop, CEA-AG, at 806-637-4060, or Scott Russell, EA-IPM, at 806-637-8792.

Sept. 15

D&PL Field Day, eight miles south of Lorenzo on the Steve Chapman Farm, 9:00 a.m.

Sept. 16

Swisher County Crop Tour. Contact Michael Clawson, CEA-AG, at 806-995-3726.

Sept. 20

Floyd County Ag Tour. Contact J.D. Ragland, CEA-AG, at 983-4912.

Sept. 21

West Texas Ag Chemicals Institute Annual Meeting, Holiday Inn Lubbock Plaza Hotel, Lubbock, TX

Sept. 22

Bayer CropScience/FiberMax Field Day, phone 765-8844 for more information

Sept. 22

Lynn County Crop Tour. Contact Bryan Reynolds, CEA-AG, at 561-4562.

Sept. 28

Crosby County Crop Tour. Contact Steve Young, CEA-AG, at 806-675-2347.

*To add an event tothis calendar contact PCG at 806-792-4904